Should we believe model predictions of future climate change? (Q33372059)

26 July 2017

title

Should we believe model predictions of future climate change? (English)

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26 July 2017

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Reto Knutti

1

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language of work or name

English

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publication date

1 December 2008

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Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A

26 July 2017

published in

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26 July 2017

volume

366

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issue

1885

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26 July 2017

page(s)

4647-4664

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Detecting and Attributing External Influences on the Climate System: A Review of Recent Advances

26 July 2017

cites work

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Constraints on radiative forcing and future climate change from observations and climate model ensembles

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Irreducible imprecision in atmospheric and oceanic simulations

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Aquaplanets, Climate Sensitivity, and Low Clouds

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Verification, Validation, and Confirmation of Numerical Models in the Earth Sciences

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Influence of satellite data uncertainties on the detection of externally forced climate change

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Improved surface temperature prediction for the coming decade from a global climate model

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What might we learn from climate forecasts?

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Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions

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Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases

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The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabilistic climate projections

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A large discontinuity in the mid-twentieth century in observed global-mean surface temperature.

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El Niño in a changing climate: a multi-model study

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THE WCRP CMIP3 Multimodel Dataset: A New Era in Climate Change Research

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Spatial patterns of probabilistic temperature change projections from a multivariate Bayesian analysis

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Spatial Analysis to Quantify Numerical Model Bias and Dependence

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Local eigenvalue analysis of CMIP3 climate model errors

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Constraining Climate Sensitivity from the Seasonal Cycle in Surface Temperature

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A Review of Uncertainties in Global Temperature Projections over the Twenty-First Century

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Toward Seamless Prediction: Calibration of Climate Change Projections Using Seasonal Forecasts

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Constraints on Model Response to Greenhouse Gas Forcing and the Role of Subgrid-Scale Processes

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How Well Do We Understand and Evaluate Climate Change Feedback Processes?

21 January 2018

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Earth system models of intermediate complexity: closing the gap in the spectrum of climate system models

21 January 2018

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Monitoring twenty-first century climate using GPS radio occultation bending angles

21 January 2018

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Utilizing belief functions for the estimation of future climate change

21 January 2018

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Quantifying Uncertainty in Projections of Regional Climate Change: A Bayesian Approach to the Analysis of Multimodel Ensembles

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21 January 2018

Going to the Extremes

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21 January 2018

Identifiers

DOI

10.1098/RSTA.2008.0169

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26 July 2017

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