Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts: A case study of Ebola in the Western Area region of Sierra Leone, 2014-15 (Q63246485)

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scholarly article by Sebastian Funk et al published February 2019 in PLOS Computational Biology

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English	Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts: A case study of Ebola in the Western Area region of Sierra Leone, 2014-15	scholarly article by Sebastian Funk et al published February 2019 in PLOS Computational Biology

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scholarly article

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Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts: A case study of Ebola in the Western Area region of Sierra Leone, 2014-15 (English)

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modeling and simulation

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Orthoebolavirus zairense

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inferred from title

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object named as

Sebastian Funk

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Adam J Kucharski

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Rosalind M. Eggo

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Rosalind M Eggo

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W John Edmunds

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Anton Camacho

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author name string

Rachel Lowe

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language of work or name

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publication date

February 2019

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PLOS Computational Biology

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15

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2

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e1006785

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copyright license

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

11 February 2019

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April 2022 Public Data File from Crossref

copyright status

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Atmospheric science. Weather forecasting with ensemble methods.

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https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30742608

12 December 2020

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Predictive model assessment for count data

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A score regression approach to assess calibration of continuous probabilistic predictions.

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Predicting the epidemic sizes of influenza A/H1N1, A/H3N2, and B: a statistical method

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12 December 2020

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Forecasting peaks of seasonal influenza epidemics

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Dengue outlook for the World Cup in Brazil: an early warning model framework driven by real-time seasonal climate forecasts

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Early transmission dynamics of Ebola virus disease (EVD), West Africa, March to August 2014.

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Ebola virus disease in West Africa--the first 9 months of the epidemic and forward projections

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Estimating the future number of cases in the Ebola epidemic--Liberia and Sierra Leone, 2014-2015.

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Dynamics and control of Ebola virus transmission in Montserrado, Liberia: a mathematical modelling analysis

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Spatiotemporal spread of the 2014 outbreak of Ebola virus disease in Liberia and the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions: a computational modelling analysis

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Ebola cases and health system demand in Liberia

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Temporal variations in the effective reproduction number of the 2014 west Africa ebola outbreak

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Early epidemic dynamics of the west african 2014 ebola outbreak: estimates derived with a simple two-parameter model

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Modeling the impact of interventions on an epidemic of ebola in sierra leone and liberia

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Projected treatment capacity needs in sierra leone

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Temporal Changes in Ebola Transmission in Sierra Leone and Implications for Control Requirements: a Real-time Modelling Study

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Modeling infectious disease dynamics in the complex landscape of global health

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Epidemic predictions in an imperfect world: modelling disease spread with partial data.

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Modeling the 2014 Ebola Virus Epidemic - Agent-Based Simulations, Temporal Analysis and Future Predictions for Liberia and Sierra Leone

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Forecasting Influenza Epidemics in Hong Kong

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Short-term Forecasting of the Prevalence of Trachoma: Expert Opinion, Statistical Regression, versus Transmission Models

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Evaluation of Ebola spreading in West Africa and decision of optimal medicine delivery strategies based on mathematical models

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Ebola in West Africa--CDC's Role in Epidemic Detection, Control, and Prevention

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Mathematical modeling of the West Africa Ebola epidemic

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Estimating the probability of demonstrating vaccine efficacy in the declining Ebola epidemic: a Bayesian modelling approach.

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Results from the centers for disease control and prevention's predict the 2013-2014 Influenza Season Challenge

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Evaluating the performance of infectious disease forecasts: A comparison of climate-driven and seasonal dengue forecasts for Mexico

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Superensemble forecasts of dengue outbreaks

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Real-time dynamic modelling for the design of a cluster-randomized phase 3 Ebola vaccine trial in Sierra Leone.

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Real-time forecasting of infectious disease dynamics with a stochastic semi-mechanistic model

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Perspectives on model forecasts of the 2014-2015 Ebola epidemic in West Africa: lessons and the way forward

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The impact of control strategies and behavioural changes on the elimination of Ebola from Lofa County, Liberia

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Epidemic Forecasting is Messier Than Weather Forecasting: The Role of Human Behavior and Internet Data Streams in Epidemic Forecast

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The RAPIDD ebola forecasting challenge: Synthesis and lessons learnt

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Counteracting structural errors in ensemble forecast of influenza outbreaks

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Individual versus superensemble forecasts of seasonal influenza outbreaks in the United States

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Fitting dynamic models to epidemic outbreaks with quantified uncertainty: A Primer for parameter uncertainty, identifiability, and forecasts

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Real-time decision-making during emergency disease outbreaks

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Identifiers

10.1371/JOURNAL.PCBI.1006785

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DBLP publication ID

journals/ploscb/FunkCKLEE19

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DBLP Dataset 2021-01-02

28 January 2021

PMC publication ID

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PubMed publication ID

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